You would normally think that a Wyoming general election
would have some exciting close races. And if you predict the outcomes, you must
be some sort of riverboat gambler.
Not so this
year, as the races are pretty cut and dried except for one.
The most
contested race is the State School Superintendent’s Race with better candidates
than in recent years. Republican Jillian
Balow has the edge because of her party affiliation over Democrat Mike
Ceballos. Wyoming could not lose no matter who finishes on top.
I have worked
with Ceballos on a number of projects and consider him a friend. He is a proven leader and an expert on all
phases of Wyoming education. He was
chairman of the P16 Education Commission for years and demonstrated the depth
of his education knowledge.
Balow touts
her organizational ability and the fact that she helps oversee a multi-million
dollar budget at the Department of Family Services. These are credible accomplishments
to tout in a statewide race and compared to Cindy Hill, who is occupying that
office now, Balow would be a gigantic improvement.
Four years
ago, I thought former State Sen. Mike Massie could beat Hill, but he got
destroyed. Hill doubled his vote totals to the surprise of many.
Biggest
difference this year is that Ceballos is a proven conservative businessman with
lots of Republican backers. He is running a much stronger race than Massie did
because of this, but is it enough?
I will vote
for Ceballos because I know him better. And also because I believe he is the
best person for the job in the entire state right now. But either way, the state will be in much
better shape than it has been with this seat for many years.
Vote
predictions:
Jillian Balow,
GOP – 93,143
Mike Ceballos,
Dem – 92,765
The governor’s
race should be another shoo-in for incumbent Matt Mead.
He has endured
criticism, which is unusual for a sitting Republican governor with his
pedigree. His grandfather was the beloved governor and U. S. Senator Cliff
Hansen. His mother Mary Mead lost a close race for governor to Mike Sullivan in
1990.
But Mead has
had to deal with the crazy Cindy Hill situation, the rise of the Tea Party and
the first real Wyoming campaign that involved Social Media.
Now he is
dealing with a write-in campaign by GOP primary loser Taylor Haynes, who wants
to run for Wyoming governor to combat Ebola.
Four years
ago, Mead coasted to an easy win over Leslie Petersen. It will happen again.
Meanwhile, his
opponent Pete Gosar has run a good clean campaign as the Democrat. If this race
were 25 years ago, Gosar would have a chance. But not today with Wyoming’s
almost total Republican electorate.
Vote predictions:
Matt Mead, GOP
– 114,991
Pete Gosar,
Dem – 55,293
Dee Cozzens, Lib. – 6,522
Don Willis, Ind. – 2,134
Taylor Haynes,
write in – 9,321
Ed Murray won
a hard-fought GOP primary battle for Secretary of State and faces two fringe
candidates in the general. There is no Democrat running in this election.
Murray is still
campaigning hard and has put 50,000 miles on his rig. He deserves high marks
for continuing this road trip across our great state.
Vote
predictions:
Ed Murray, GOP
– 140,571
Jennifer
Young, Const. – 31,611
Kit Carson,
Lib. – 8,544
U. S. Senator
Mike Enzi deserves reelection and the lack of big-time competitors shows just
how effective and popular he really is.
Enzi is not
using his large war chest to win this race. He will win it by good
old-fashioned meet-and-greets. Had Liz Cheney stayed in this race, this past
summer`s Wyoming primary election would been in the headlines all across the
country. Thankfully she bowed out last
Dec. 31, as it was an un-winnable race for her.
I am sure Enzi
will be relieved when this campaign is over so he can go back to work.
If the
Republicans regain control of the Senate, Enzi will be in a position to do some
amazing things for his home state. We can’t wait.
Predictions:
Mike Enzi, GOP
- 152,333
Charlie Hardy,
Dem – 27,145
Joe Porambo,
Lib. – 4,378
Curt Gottshall,
Ind. – 4,153
In other
races, incumbent Cynthia Lummis will easily defeat her opponents. We send her
condolences for the death of her husband.
State
Treasurer Mark Gordon and State Auditor Cynthia Cloud have no competitors.
Be sure to
vote and if you see any of these candidates, thank them for jumping into the
political fray.
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