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Thursday, August 27, 2009
WBR13 - Windy Wyoming has a breezy future, it would seem
Seems like Don Quixote’s worst nightmare is occurring in real life here in Wyoming.
The mythical Man of La Mancha went crazy jousting against huge windmills in Spain that looked like giants to him. In real life, giants are marching across our landscapes here, and yes, they really are windmills.
Everyone knows Wyoming is a windy place, but did you know that our state is ranked number-one in the country for consistent wind? Our average wind speed of 12.9 mph topped the country, according to the governor’s web page.
After all these years, people are getting serious about wind energy here. Seems like everyone is talking about Wyoming’s abundant winds.
As the country rapidly blows away from coal to wind, I am reminded of a story told at least five years ago by a lobbyist for the coalmines. He claimed it would take 20,000 wind turbines to replace one Jim Bridger plant. That coal fired power plant located east of Rock Springs has a capacity of 2,120 megawatts.
Well, not so fast. That lobbyist was talking about those original wind turbines, which were small fry, compared to the giants marching across the plains today. A typical wind turbine today often can produce one megawatt, a huge improvement. Wind farms are reportedly just one-third efficient as coal, though, so you may need three wind turbines to create one consistent megawatt.
Thus, if my math is correct, you would need 6,360 of these one-megawatt wind turbines to replace Bridger, which is the 56th largest power plant in the USA.
But wait, there’s more.
On the drawing boards today are gigantic five-megawatt wind turbines. When these behemoths get installed, well, you need just over 1,000 of them to equal a Bridger.
Not everyone is thrilled. The NIMBY folks (Not In My Back Yard) are worried there will not be a ridgeline left in Wyoming that doesn’t contain the swirling images of giant windmills.
A map showing Wyoming’s windiest places reveals a vertical corridor from Converse County south to Albany and Laramie Counties as one of the most consistently windy places in the state.
But the key to that development is the ability to connect the generated electricity to the various national electricity grids so we can easily export this resource.
The map shows a vast area in blue (the color for the highest wind speeds) between Cheyenne and Douglas, which is no surprise to people trying to drive I-25 in that area. The windiest area appears to be about 30 miles west from I-25.
Big problem is the map also shows the location for existing power lines and there are no major power lines in that area, with possible exception of the Wheatland power plant. The one power line in that area is at capacity.
Thus, where our winds blows the hardest, it has been difficult for entrepreneurs to find a place to connect the electricity generated to put on a power line.
Today, all this wind energy is starting to make some folks see some serious money opportunities
Other windy spots include Elk Mountain, Laramie, Rawlins, Wamsutter, South Pass, Wright, east of Evanston, north of Casper plus a myriad of other breezy places.
The state map looks like two halves when seen from the wind perspective.
It is almost like there is a diagonal line running from Big Piney in Sublette County northeast to Buffalo and then straight north of Sheridan. Most everything left of this line is not really suited for wind farms (although some Cody people might question that), while the areas to the right of the line show up in bright blues, reds, purples and pinks – all indicating good wind measurements.
A new word in the 2010 Webster’s Dictionary is “viewshed” which stands for that area that offers you your view of the mountains or trees or whatever.
And that word was big at a recent meeting concerning new wind turbine farms in Sweetwater County.
A Utah promoter wanted to place 237 turbines on White Mountain northwest of Rock Springs. White Mountain is a popular recreation area just off I-80. The site is near the recently completed Wild Horse Loop Tour, which runs along its slope.
"We need to walk a fine line between the economic benefits afforded us by this resource and the erosion of our way of life," reporter Jeff Gearino quoted County Treasurer Robb Slaughter. "Now is the time for citizens to get more informed and involved. We need to make ourselves aware of the potential pitfalls that come with this industry, and if we ignore them, we have the potential to be the victims of whatever happens in the future."
Taking a more positive approach was local civic leader John Hay, of the Rock Springs Grazing Association. He was quoted as saying his organization has been actively involved in wind development and sees the industry as a good way to help ranchers during tough economic times. "We`ll survive only if we take advantage of all our resources here. We think wind is going to be terribly important as we move forward, not to take the place of, but in addition to, our oil and gas resources."
That project was denied, by the way.
Back in February 2002 my son Michael and I filmed a TV commercial near the Medicine Bow wind farm next to I-80. My recollection is that I was almost blown over by the wind and we just could not isolate my voice without tremendous amounts of wind noise.
It was during my ill-conceived governor campaign and although a commercial promoting wind power seemed like a good idea, the ad never even ran.
Why? Wyoming had so much coal and natural gas at the time that wind was like a glimmer of hope designed for some time in the future.
My, how things have changed in seven years.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2009
935 - Sure seems like an odd summer here in Wyoming
Has this summer seemed a little odd here in Wyoming?
Not sure why, but what seems like “normal” just not does not describe some of the odd things going on.
The following are some observations so far this year:
• As a long-time pilot I will admit to spending more than a normal amount of time scanning the skies and checking the weather.
This summer has featured some of the most unusual clouds, I have ever seen. Clouds of all description will occupy the same sky with winds coming and going.
About a month ago, a tornado was spotted between Lander and South Pass. Trust me that is odd.
But the oddest thing was the first video ever made from inside a tornado and it took place in Goshen County on June 5. You can watch this amazing video on YouTube.com.
• Most of Wyoming’s weather has been odd.
Early August featured some cool, wet weather and when I started sneezing, it was easy to say, “fall sure seemed to be the air.”
Ben Freedman, a member of our local coffee group, remarked on how cold and wet June was. He described our three summer months as like spring, summer and fall.
So what do we call the other nine months?
Someone said: “construction.”
• It is truly incredible the amount of road construction going on. Delays are inevitable but if we end up with a road like the highway between South Pass and Farson, then keep it going.
Yet with all the construction going on, my friend Clay James of Jackson Hole passed along the new term that people are using to describe the opposite situation when nothing is getting built.
He says it is called BANANA. The definition is “Build Absolutely Nothing Anytime Near Anything.” Interesting.
• Not sure why, but it sure seems like a lot of people have been dying on Wyoming’s highways in the last three months. So far, more than 20 have died in car wrecks here in Fremont County, alone, this year.
Perhaps the oddest occurred near Pinedale when four people were killed in a head-on. They were all from Colorado Springs. Two were in one car and two in the other. They did not know each other.
What an odd occurrence to travel 500 miles north of their homes and collide with other folks from the same city with deadly consequences on a lonely highway in Wyoming?
• Nearly a third of a million people have watched an amateur video taken by a tourist visiting Lander’s Sinks Canyon State Park and posted on YouTube’s web site, which shows a mountain sheep butting a car.
Park staff have dubbed the animal “Bam Bam the Ram” because of its tendency to butt car or truck bumpers, albeit harmlessly, and thus greatly entertain travelers to the park.
Game and Fish personnel recently moved Bam Bam to a more remote location, for his safety and the safety of tourists who had begun to seek him out.
• The Wyoming Cowboys hopefully could surprise some people this year on the football field.
Biggest national stage will be next month when Texas invades Laramie. The Longhorns are among the country’s best teams and may have the best quarterback in the USA in Colt McCoy.
Sure hope our high altitude can help bring these invaders down to size. Odd stories are abounding about Texans buying season tickets to UW so they can guarantee a seat in Laramie for the big game.
• Have enjoyed seeing the good play of the Colorado Rockies baseball team. They have been the hottest team in all of baseball since the All-Star break. They could end up in the World Series.
And then there are the Denver Broncos.
Although I feel good about the Cowboys and Rockies, the Broncos will be lucky to win five games. This Sunday will feature a truly odd coincidence with Denver’s new coach playing his first game in Denver and it will be against Chicago, which features our old pro bowl quarterback Jay Cutler, whom our new coach drove out of Denver. Odd.
• And of course, there was the gal who broke into the Casper dog pound to free her captured Pit Bull. And the old guy in Glenrock who got “tazered” while riding his tractor in a parade. A finally, there was a Colorado guy who fought off a nutty (and hungry) mountain lion near Cody with his chain saw.
Crazy (and odd) times here in Wyoming, it seems.
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Friday, August 14, 2009
934 - Governor relishes challenge of tough economic times
When the going gets tough, the tough get going – old saying often applied to living in Wyoming.
This year and next year should be the two most difficult years of Gov. Dave Freudenthal’s governorship, as the state appears to be sliding toward economic mediocrity.
After six and a half boom years, the governor has had to totally change his approach to how the state deals with revenues.
Wyoming’s state government has been envy of the country. Some years, our legislature went into session with a surplus of more than a billion dollars.
But those halcyon days are over. And this governor knows it.
But what is striking is how much Gov Dave is relishing this challenge.
“I know times are tough, but frankly this is the essence of what governing is all about,” he told me during a recent interview.
He said he was somewhat surprised at the arrival of the boom at the start of 2003 and even more pleasantly surprised as it continued, almost unabated, through the middle of 2008.
Even when the national economy hit the skids in September of 2008, Wyoming continued to chug along. Our state just endured some hits to the retail, housing and car-buying sector, which were not caused by Wyoming issues, but a reflection of a national malaise that stretched from the Atlantic to the Pacific.
The governor is fascinated how international events are affecting the Wyoming economy.
He does not totally buy into the often-mentioned theory that Wyoming’s economy is counter-intuitive to the rest of the country. This theory says when Wyoming booms, the country struggles and when the country booms, Wyoming struggles. This theory is pretty much based on the idea that when your state is a commodities producer, like Wyoming, when its exports (oil, coal, natural gas, ag products) are expensive, the rest of the country suffers. But when they are cheap, the country booms and the places that produce such products languish.
Perhaps in the past this made sense, but today the governor sees international forces having more impact than ever before.
He talks a lot about what is happening in China and India as having a huge effect on what happens here in Wyoming.
One example is the national pressure to cut back on coal and the emissions caused by coal powered power plants. Until India and China get serious about cutting back, why would there be such pressure to cut back here in the USA?
He would like to see prices go up for our natural gas, but he is quite pessimistic for the next decade. “We have so much natural gas in this country and more is being discovered every day. That fact will keep the prices down and that reduces the amount of severance revenue the state can collect.
“And there is really nothing we can do about that,” he ruefully concludes.
The year 2008 was the biggest year ever for mineral production in Wyoming and the state’s haul from severance taxes in 2009, plus all the property taxes paid on assessed valuations, were highest ever. So it is quite a shock to see it all end so quickly.
He already has put into place a third of a billion dollars in cuts for the state legislature to ponder.
“Sure it can be painful, but look at how much the government has grown in the past six years?” he asks. He says this is the appropriate job for elected leaders to tackle to make the difficult decisions.
“We are the envy of the country with our revenue streams, our balanced budget and our savings accounts,” he says. “But we need to show leadership and restraint as we deal with an entirely different set of circumstances.”
He thinks Wyoming people will accept these cuts and learn to live within their means.
But he says he needs more good people to help out.
Among the problems he did not expect to find when becoming governor was the reluctance of some people to give up their private jobs and come work for the state.
“It has been hard to find people willing to help out,” he says.
“Sure we have landed some outstanding folks who are doing wonderful jobs, but it has been surprising to me at how many good people say no, when asked.”
With that, he concludes his interview, feeling pleased that he is getting the chance to make the tough choices that he feels he has been elected to make.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
933 - Editors not thrilled using Wyoming as an example
My column last week generated some negative responses (and lots of positive ones, too) concerning whether the country should be looking to Wyoming as an example of fiscal responsibility.
To those do did not read it, you can access it at www.billsniffin.com. Its title is “how Wyoming can save America?”
An award-winning editor who once worked for me ripped it pretty well. Bart Smith, publisher of the Greeley Tribune, wrote:
“There are so many other differences in some of these states that it would be difficult to argue that this one trait makes all the difference. Few states have the natural resources in oil and coal that Wyoming and Texas have, for example. Those high returns on these resources (Wyoming taxes energy far higher than Colorado) fund a lot of programs.
“The school facilities I see in Wyoming were far nicer than those in states where they must depend almost entirely on property and income taxes to support education.”
One of the smartest editors in Wyoming is D. Reed Eckhardt of the Cheyenne Tribune-Eagle. Even he weighed in:
“I think your logic is flawed here, but you are entitled to it.
“Why have Wyoming, Texas and Montana succeeded in a recession? How about the fact that their economies, particularly their revenues, are all minerals-based. They essentially are banana republics, supplying the rest of the nation/world with a commodity while not really doing anything to grow themselves. Yes, they have revenues, but that does not make them better than a blue state that actually converts those commodities into product.
“Proof that Wyoming is no different than any blue state? Note the expansion of government during the recent minerals boom. We did not build the state as we could/should have; we expanded government ala California.
“Further proof? How can anyone claim Wyomingites are independent when they keep their hands extended to the minerals industry and to the federal government (note the recent whining about not getting our share of the stimulus). When the average Wyomingite gets about $30,000 in services for $5,000 in taxes, it is hard to say that he/she is independent.”
Ken Smith heads up the Journalism Dept. at University of Wyoming and is one of the best editors in the state’s history. He says:
“I don`t have a problem with his point about self-sufficiency. What I don`t buy is the same old weary tie-in with Obama. Those states voted for Obama because they were suffering so badly under Cheney/Bush.
“All of the problems that are mentioned originated in a Republican administration. And let us not forget that we had a budget surplus under the last Democratic administration that quickly disappeared when the Republicans took the White House.
“I agree that fiscal conservatism is what we need, but why did it not work under the last Republican administration? This is something the Republicans need to figure outwhy their brand of fiscal conservatism, even when the own both houses of Congress, tends to result in budget deficits.”
My colleague and another outstanding former editor and broadcaster Ernie Over even chimed in:
“Isn`t this interesting. Everyone wants to complain about the solution, and absolve those who got us into this gawd-awful mess. Where were the outcries when the deficit climbed and climbed and climbed?
“If most states had the mineral resources like Wyoming, Montana and North Dakota (coal, natural gas) maybe those states would not be in the financial problems they are in. And if we didn`t have those resources, we`d be in the toilet too. You should move your last sentence to the head of the story.”
Perhaps I should let a smart retired businessman from Riverton named Hal Herron (who is not an editor) have the last words:
“Thrift and saving for the future is a timeless reality. Consider the mix of folks in a residential area. Typically, the families that drove the used car and saved for their children’s college versus maxing out every credit card and buying the new boats, four-wheel drives etc., probably are still in their homes.
“The spending neighbors have for sale signs on every toy and facing bankruptcy. The older and wiser ranchers and farmers of the Midwest and West that you and I know, still drive the used pickups etc. Their farmhouse is tidy, and perhaps older but maybe totally paid for. Saving and being thrifty . . . in anticipation for the rainy day. Our state, in general, has done that. And we have money in savings.”
So there you have it.
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Wednesday, August 5, 2009
932 - Can Wyoming save America (by example?)
Wyoming is what America was. – 1970s Wyoming tourism slogan.
We often think that our state can help salvage our country’s economic health because of our vast energy reserves. But it is beginning to look like we might be able to save it in another way – by being a good example.
Traits that exemplify Wyoming like a balanced budget, a big savings account and moderate regulation might help the country if adopted by other states.
But it would be a hard sell.
Our country has become very divided. This division can be seen by the breakdown of recent elections into what are called red states and blue states. Red are states like Wyoming where its majority voted Republican and blue are those where the majority voted Democrat.
It appears most of the red states are merely enduring a recession while most of the blue states are experiencing near-depression status.
Red states like Wyoming and Texas are generally doing okay. Blue states like California and New York, are teetering and only being held up by infusions of national cash and deficit spending.
President Barack Obama could learn from these red states instead of following the dangerous path he is headed down, in converting the entire country to replicate Western Europe and those dark blue states like New York and California.
New York Times columnist Russ Douthat defined it well recently. Here are four key paragraphs:
“But it’s a sensible way to understand Obama’s summer struggles. On health care, energy, taxes and spending, he’s pushing a blue-state agenda during a recession that’s exposed some of the blue-state model’s weaknesses, and some of the red-state model’s strengths.
“Consider Texas and California. In the Bush years, liberal polemicists turned the president’s home state — pious, lightly regulated, stingy with public services and mad for sprawl — into a symbol of everything barbaric about Republican America. Meanwhile, California, always liberalism’s favorite laboratory, was passing global-warming legislation, pouring billions into stem-cell research, and seemed to be negotiating its way toward universal health care.
“But flash forward to the current recession, and suddenly Texas looks like a model citizen. The Lone Star kept growing well after the country dipped into recession. Its unemployment rate and foreclosure rate are well below the national average. It’s one of six states that didn’t run budget deficits in 2009.
“Meanwhile, California, long a paradise for regulators and public-sector unions, has become a fiscal disaster area. And it isn’t the only dark blue basket case. Eight states had unemployment over 11 percent in June; seven went for Barack Obama last November. Fourteen states are facing 2010 budget gaps that exceed 20 percent of their gross domestic product. Only two went for John McCain. Of the nine states that have raised taxes this year, closing deficits at the expense of growth, almost all are liberal bastions.”
The only three states with budget surpluses are Wyoming, North Dakota and Montana. Two of those are red states with Montana split pretty much between red and blue philosophies.
The guys in my coffee group see things with a much simpler vision.
“Those folks who support Obama want everything given to them by the government,” one independent businessman says. “They do not want to have to do anything for themselves.”
An ex-Californian refers to his home state as “Occupied Mexifornia.” We apologize for that slur.
Most of my coffee mates are over 60. Just about every one of them owned their own businesses.
The traits that make a person a successful business owner – independence, sense of timing, pro-active rather than reactive, well, do not generally describe the stereotypical blue state voter, according to my coffee gang.
But there is another trait that can often be found in the folks who reside in the red states, which generally are those places away from the coasts.
People with wanderlust founded these red states. Folks who were not satisfied with their status quo back home and ventured off to new lands.
Perhaps it was this wanderlust trait that defines the leaders of the red states. With wanderlust comes the need to be self-sufficient. An ability to solve your own problems, rather than looking for a central government to provide for you.
When you stayed back home on the coasts and relied on central governments for all your needs, well, a different kind of person can evolve.
Is this a gross generalization of the folks who have gotten the blue states into such a mess? No doubt it is, but if more states acted like Wyoming, our country would be in much better shape today.
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Sunday, August 2, 2009
WBR12 - Big trucks should pay maintenance fees on I-80
It would be a pain to have to pay a toll to travel on Interstate 80 but that concept certainly seems to be the only way to finance billions in repairs projected for the road.
And the damage is being caused by trucks. Big trucks.
But, instead of a toll, let’s just call it a “maintenance fee.”
One person who knows says that you could drive 4,000 cars over that highway and not cause the same damage as one heavy semi-trailer truck. John Cox, director of the Wyoming Department of Transportation (WYDOT), made that comment.
Thus, cars should pay 1/4,000th of what the toll would be for a big truck. If a truck’s fee is $100 then a car should be three cents. Sounds fair to me.
I-80 covers 400 miles across Wyoming, which is a pinch point where highways converge. It is the nation’s primary east-west artery for transporting freight these days.
All those products being produced in Asia arrive on the West Coast on huge freighters and then are hauled cross-country by semi-trucks. A special task force has been holding hearings in seven I-80 cities about installing such tolls.
WYDOT has produced a wonderful video, which can be accessed on their site at http://dot.state.wy.us.
I-80 traffic is now more than 50 percent trucks or 6,000 semi- trailer trucks a day. Over 180,000 trucks per month make that highway scary all year long, but especially in winter. It is no secret that a small minority of these truckers is driving while impaired and willing to take risks. And with its high altitude, you can be driving in bad weather conditions almost any month of the year.
Another group to be fearful of are those flatlanders who have no idea of how to handle steep grades, high winds, snow and ice. As a frequent traveler of that roadway, it is easy to recall terrifying moments while driving blind in ground blizzards knowing full well that dozens of giant, lumbering trucks were bearing down.
Because that highway is here and also because it is a lifeline for Wyoming, too, it is hard to ignore. It is truly the six billion dollar gorilla when it comes to problems that we would like to have someone else solve.
Why should Wyoming have to pay to keep this national trail of commerce in good repair? Why should Wyoming bear the brunt of this expense, when it comes to taking care of our citizens?
Members of the Wyoming Department of Transportation (WYDOT) have long been crying foul during all this, too. They are in a lose-lose situation.
On the one hand, they are expected to keep our roads safe and in good repair and upgraded, when necessary. On the other hand, the state’s federal funds are being cut and the prices for road construction have gone through the roof.
Frequent I-80 drivers have long bemoaned the dangerous state of that highway in winter conditions, which can often be nine months of the year in places like Elk Mountain and the Summit.
WYDOT has added more web cams, snowplows and snow fences. The governor and legislators have added more patrolmen. And those huge message boards cost in the hundreds of thousands of dollars and the state has added them all over the Interstate system, too.
The numbers associated with keeping I-80 in good shape are staggering, according to WYDOT’s Cox. He says you could spend Wyoming’s highway budget for the whole state on I-80 and still come up short.
Thus the current conversations about tolls, or what I prefer to call maintenance fees.
And there are ideas, which have been put forward about solving the problem. Some legislators think it should be six-lane, which is an idea often put forth by former House Speaker Fred Parady.
And then there are other alternatives. “Instead of putting money into expanding I-80, we should build a parallel four-lane across the center of the state from Lusk to Casper and on to Shoshoni and over South Pass and onward out the west side of the state,” was once the favorite plan of State Sen. Gerry Geis of Worland.
And other opinions weigh in. Today, you can find lots of people doing “blogging,” which stands for web-savvy folks commenting on news stories or on political events. Blogger is from the term Web Log, which lasted about five minutes before all its users started to call themselves bloggers.
One blogger was ecstatic about charging tolls when he said: "Good. Toll the trucks. They are the ones tearing up the highway. If they have to pass those costs on to customers, that`s good, too. Charge people in Iowa and Chicago more for their Chinese-made underwear and iPods. I don`t really care. If they don`t like it, they should make their own or move closer to China."
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931 - The modern definition of work is changing (even here)
The conflicting trends of the changing definition of work plus the disappearance of jobs during a recession are affecting people here in the Cowboy State.
For seven years, we have had no shortage of good, old-fashioned physical labor during one of biggest booms in our state’s history.
Because so much of that work was in construction, the oil and gas fields and the coal mines, well, it appeared that men hold most of these jobs.
We have long complained about the large disparity in Wyoming between wages of men and women. My critics who complain about me publishing this fact argue that our state really is the exception. They contend we actually have so few total jobs and most of them fit men better in that they often are physical, dirty and require its workers to leave home for isolated places. This is the reason for the wage disparity, not that Wyoming, for some reason, pays its women less than other states.
Do I agree? Not sure.
One of the top employers in the state says: “On male versus female pay, it is primarily relevant if you are comparing the same job.
“I think that for Wyoming you will find the primary gap is due to a greater percentage of males having higher paying jobs than females but when you look at a male nurse versus a female nurse, you will find their pay is comparable.”
Our definition of work is changing, too.
The world of work has sure changed for me. Today I work on my laptop from anywhere in the world. My phone also delivers emails to me and I even admit to doing my share of texting.
Quite a difference from where I started. My first job was delivering a daily newspaper when 9 years old. It was hard work for a little kid. And it seems like I have been working hard every since.
After entering the adult workforce, it always seemed that hard work was a virtue. As a budding entrepreneur with no financial base and a young family to support, the only way to get ahead was by out-working those around me.
Now, after working as hard as possible for over 45 years, it is easy to come to the unusual conclusion that hard work is not what it is cracked up to be.
Instead, let’s vote for smart work.
This concept came to me at a young age. I helped run the family gas station while in junior high and high school in a tiny town in northeast Iowa. My dad paid me $25 per week and all the gas my 1951 Ford Victoria could burn. It was a fun time, once the work was over.
But I caught grief from my dad when it came time to sweep off the driveway. He would see me there leaning on my broom trying to figure out an easier way to do it. The driveway was huge, and surely there was a better way?
My dad’s mantra was: “Bill, the time you are wasting thinking about an easier way, you could have already done it. Now get cracking!”
Perhaps that was the beginning of my quest to figure out ways of working smarter rather than working harder.
My current conclusion is that we need to work hard and smart.
So what does the future of employment hold? Looks like tremendous pressure being exerted in two totally different directions to me.
First, with development of computers and robots, work is changing and it requires less physical effort.
Second, there are billions of people around the world willing to do any job, anywhere, for less money than it costs to hire an American.
My best advice is for young people (and perhaps all people) is to seek continuing education. And you must stay focused on trends.
And if there is a certain kind of work that you are good at (or that you want to do), then you need to study that industry, educate yourself and make contacts in that industry, using new media.
A gal who hires lots of people at a Montana hospital told me that a huge source of job app’s for them now comes through the social networks used by their workers already on the job. This includes Facebook, Linked in, Twitter, MySpace and others.
If you do not have a Facebook page today, well, get with it. It’s free. And it’s the future. And it’s already here.
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