My, how things can change on the statewide political scene
over a few months.
The Wyoming
governor race in 2018 may end up being the most interesting race in the state’s
history. I hope people are paying
attention. Not sure we will ever see the like of this circus again.
Throughout
2017, it looked like a two-man race between State Treasurer Mark Gordon and
Secretary of State Ed Murray was going to provide the most interest. But then
Murray resigned because of decades-old allegations of impropriety, leaving
Gordon looking like the last man standing.
But not so
fast.
Two archconservatives
Harriet Hageman, Cheyenne, and Taylor Haynes, Laramie, have been working
hard. Hageman, especially, has built a
tremendous campaign and it’s not impossible to see her winning the whole thing.
With Murray’s
departure, Cheyenne’s Sam Galeotos has come forward as the “business”
candidate. He has solid people working with him. Rumor has it that he may have
a war chest over $1 million ready to spend on the effort. Former U. S. Rep.
Cynthia Lummis is co-chairing his campaign along with Matt Micheli.
Galeotos told
me he realizes he is new to statewide voters but his family has a long history
in Wyoming. He has a record as an
entrepreneur, which he is touting during this campaign.
Hageman told
me last week that she anticipates spending a million dollars. She is a tireless
worker and enjoyed a terrific reception at the recent Republican state convention
in Laramie.
Meanwhile the
first guy in the race, Bill Dahlin, of Sheridan is still out there shaking
hands.
So if the
above were all that is going on, we would have one of the most interesting
races ever featuring five busy candidates.
But hold on,
Foster Friess, 78, of Jackson announced at that convention that he is running,
too.
Billionaire Friess
could be a real wild card. He has the ability to self-fund a campaign. He is
much better known that most observers realize. Friess is known across the
country. During May, he was on Fox News,
Fox Business, and MSNBC cable channels.
In Wyoming, to win the Republican primary, you
usually need to present yourself as really conservative. Friess touts
conservative values but he is more well rounded than most of the candidates.
Friess could
launch a Donald Trump-style campaign. He does not need to raise money and he
can use his private jet to crisscross the state in a hurry.
I have known
Foster for a long time and he is a good, responsible citizen, as is his wife
Lynn. Lynn knows the state well, having served on the Wyoming Business Council.
But I am not
sure just being a wonderful person can get you elected governor. Friess, an innovator, sure offers the
possibility of stirring things up.
So, based on
the input that I am getting from my statewide network of Wyoming-Watchers, it
looks like Gordon has a slight lead over Hageman. Taylor Haynes is in there somewhere but as Galeotos
gets better known, I see him moving up for right now. With Lummis in his corner,
Galeotos should have considerable firepower going forward.
Until Friess
starts spending and campaigning, he is in the middle of the pack somewhere.
As a political
watcher I can guarantee to all these candidates that 16 weeks is a tiny period
of time and it will pass quickly. They have to be possessive of their time and
their money as the Aug. 21 primary finish line is barreling down on them.
So what should
Gordon be doing to maintain his lead over the rest of the campaign?
He has already
run two statewide campaigns and spent a lot of money in each. He has Gale
Geringer running this campaign, which means it is well-connected and should be
in all the right places at the right times.
I predicted three weeks ago that this race is Gordon’s to lose and that
assessment is still correct.
But the
numbers are just nuts.
There are
575,000 people in Wyoming. But just
105,950 Republicans voted in that hotly contested August 2010, primary, which
Mead won with 30,300 votes.
If you do the
math, it is possible that the winner could again get as few as 30,300 votes and
still move on to the general election, where he or she would face the credible
Mary Throne, the Democratic candidate.
Folks,
watching this campaign is way better than the best TV show you have ever
experienced. Stay tuned.
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